GVVV Veenendaal vs RKAV Volendam Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives RKAV Volendam a 45% win probability and GVVV Veenendaal only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or RKAV Volendam rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Volendam's form score of 75 and defensive score of 74 dwarf GVVV's 25 and 26, although GVVV's attack score of 53 is slightly higher than Volendam's 47. The Poisson metric is the clearest internal conflict, rating GVVV at 72 against Volendam's 28, so the model's own goal-expectation component points the other way even as the overall probabilities and advice favour the visitors. GVVV's team analysis shows a four-match losing streak within a recent LLLLW sequence, one win from five, and a 5-1 away defeat among four losses, while Volendam's LWDWDD record over six matches includes three draws, only one defeat, and no clean sheets for either side. The goals analysis reinforces the split: GVVV concede 2.80 per game overall and 4.00 away from home, whereas Volendam concede 1.70 overall and 1.00 at home, though Volendam's away scoring average of 0.70 is notably low. Both teams' goal-timing profiles show late vulnerability, with GVVV conceding 28.57% of goals in the 76-90 window and Volendam 33.33% in the same period, which could keep a draw plausible if the game stays tight. The last-five records add nuance, as GVVV's two most recent home matches were 4-0 and 3-0 wins, suggesting their form score may understate current home threat, while Volendam's last five produced four draws and one win, mostly low-scoring. The head-to-head record tilts toward Volendam with four wins in six meetings, including 3-1 and 2-5 victories at Sportpark Panhuis, though GVVV's 4-0 home win in 2023 shows the venue has not always been favourable to the visitors. Taken together, the form, defensive, goals and head-to-head evidence broadly support the draw-or-Volendam advice, but the Poisson split, GVVV's recent home wins and Volendam's weak away scoring mean the prediction should be treated as uncertain rather than a clear away success.

Predicted winner

RKAV Volendam

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or RKAV Volendam

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. GVVV Veenendaal 1–3 RKAV Volendam (14 Mar 2026)
2. RKAV Volendam 0–2 GVVV Veenendaal (11 Oct 2025)
3. GVVV Veenendaal 2–5 RKAV Volendam (08 Mar 2025)
4. RKAV Volendam 4–1 GVVV Veenendaal (05 Oct 2024)
5. GVVV Veenendaal 4–0 RKAV Volendam (15 Apr 2023)