Gundelfingen vs TuS Geretsried Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Gundelfingen with a double chance at 45% home and 45% draw against only 10% for TuS Geretsried, an unusually flat split that suggests the draw is nearly as likely as a home win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Gundelfingen dominate form (100 versus 0), attack (80 versus 20) and defence (60 versus 40), yet the Poisson estimate actually tilts slightly to Geretsried (52 versus 48) and head-to-head leans entirely away (100 versus 0). The head-to-head record explains that conflict, since Geretsried won the most recent meeting 2-1 at home in February 2026 and Gundelfingen's 2-1 away win in August 2025 is the only counterweight across a two-match sample. Gundelfingen's broader profile is mixed rather than dominant: 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in 11 games, with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded, and their last five produced two draws, a win, a loss and a goalless draw. Geretsried's form is far weaker, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in 11, only 11 goals scored against 25 conceded, and a last-five sequence of five straight defeats in which they scored just twice. Their goal analysis sharpens that contrast, as Geretsried average 1.00 scored and 2.30 conceded per game, while Gundelfingen average 1.50 scored and 1.70 conceded, and Geretsried have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches. The goals markets lean low-scoring, with Gundelfingen staying under 2.5 goals in 8 of 11 and Geretsried in 10 of 11, which supports the draw component of the advice more than a comfortable home win. Overall, the form, attack and defensive metrics point toward Gundelfingen avoiding defeat, but the Poisson and head-to-head signals plus Gundelfingen's own draw-heavy record mean the 45% draw probability is doing real work in the recommendation.

Predicted winner

Gundelfingen

Betting advice

Double chance : Gundelfingen or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. TuS Geretsried 2–1 Gundelfingen (28 Feb 2026)
2. Gundelfingen 1–2 TuS Geretsried (15 Aug 2025)