Gubbio vs Perugia Prediction
· Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Match prediction
- Gubbio and Perugia share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear home superiority.
- Gubbio's superior attack and Poisson ratings, plus a head-to-head edge, support their stronger overall profile despite only two wins in seven.
- Perugia's away form is the key qualifier: no away wins, 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away match undermine their chances.
- Both teams' recent form is inconsistent, with Gubbio losing their last two and Perugia alternating wins and losses, reinforcing draw risk.
- Perugia's home-only clean sheets and away scoring failures suggest they struggle on the road, strengthening the case for Gubbio or draw.
- Head-to-head history is tight and low-scoring, with recent meetings often drawn or decided by a single goal, supporting the cautious double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Gubbio
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Gubbio or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gubbio | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gubbio
Recent form: LLWWDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Perugia
Recent form: WDWLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Perugia 0–1 Gubbio (18 Jan 2026)
- Gubbio 1–1 Perugia (06 Sep 2025)
- Gubbio 1–0 Perugia (20 Jan 2025)
- Perugia 1–1 Gubbio (15 Sep 2024)
- Gubbio 0–1 Perugia (17 Mar 2024)