World · CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala vs Suriname Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Guatemala and +1.5 goals
Match prediction
- Guatemala and Suriname share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the model treats this as a genuine coin-flip rather than a clear home edge.
- Suriname's superior recent form clashes with Guatemala's stronger attack and head-to-head record, which explains why the model still leans toward a Guatemala win.
- Guatemala's perfect home defensive record and 6-0 win over El Salvador support the home side, though Suriname's unbeaten three-match run qualifies that confidence.
- The +1.5 goals advice fits both teams' scoring patterns, since each side has exceeded 1.5 goals in two of three recent matches.
- The recent 0-0 head-to-head draw and Suriname's away wins show this fixture can stay tight, so the goal line carries more risk than the winner selection.
- Guatemala's heavy defeats to Ecuador and Czechia suggest the attack metric may overstate their quality against stronger opposition.
- Predicted winner
- Guatemala
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Guatemala and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Guatemala | Suriname |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Guatemala
Recent form: LWD.
Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.
Suriname
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Suriname 0–0 Guatemala (03 Oct 2026)
- Guatemala 3–1 Suriname (19 Nov 2025)
- Suriname 1–1 Guatemala (10 Oct 2025)


