World · CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala vs Suriname Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Guatemala and +1.5 goals

Guatemala badgeGuatemala vs Suriname badgeSuriname

Match prediction

  • Guatemala and Suriname share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the model treats this as a genuine coin-flip rather than a clear home edge.
  • Suriname's superior recent form clashes with Guatemala's stronger attack and head-to-head record, which explains why the model still leans toward a Guatemala win.
  • Guatemala's perfect home defensive record and 6-0 win over El Salvador support the home side, though Suriname's unbeaten three-match run qualifies that confidence.
  • The +1.5 goals advice fits both teams' scoring patterns, since each side has exceeded 1.5 goals in two of three recent matches.
  • The recent 0-0 head-to-head draw and Suriname's away wins show this fixture can stay tight, so the goal line carries more risk than the winner selection.
  • Guatemala's heavy defeats to Ecuador and Czechia suggest the attack metric may overstate their quality against stronger opposition.
Predicted winner
Guatemala
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Guatemala and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorGuatemalaSuriname
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total57.2%42.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Guatemala

Recent form: LWD.

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Suriname

Recent form: WWD.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Suriname 0–0 Guatemala (03 Oct 2026)
  2. Guatemala 3–1 Suriname (19 Nov 2025)
  3. Suriname 1–1 Guatemala (10 Oct 2025)
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