Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Guastatoya with a win-or-draw call and a combined under-3.5-goals advice, supported by probabilities of 45% home, 45% draw and only 10% away, so the away side is treated as a marginal threat rather than a likely winner. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Guastatoya's form score of 53.00 edges Deportivo San Pedro's 47.00 and the Poisson split is 100.00 to 0.00, while the attack ratings are identical at 50.00 and the defensive edge sits with Guastatoya at 44.00 against 56.00. The overall totals are nearly level, however, at 49.00 versus 51.00, which qualifies any assumption of clear superiority and helps explain why the draw carries the same 45% as a home win. Guastatoya's ten-game record of six wins, one draw and three defeats, with 15 goals scored and 11 conceded, points to a moderately productive but not dominant side, and their last five show three wins, a draw and a loss with no match exceeding three total goals. Deportivo San Pedro's profile is far more polarized: five wins, three draws and two defeats, but all five wins came at home, with no away wins, four away failures to score and a 0.00 away goals-per-game average. Their last five underline that split, featuring two home wins, three draws and away blanks at Marquense and Municipal, so their attacking threat in this fixture is questionable even though their overall defensive average of 0.80 goals conceded is better than Guastatoya's 1.10. The goals analysis supports the under-3.5 element, since Guastatoya have stayed under 3.5 in nine of ten matches and Deportivo San Pedro in nine of ten, with the away side also under 3.5 in all ten of their defensive matches. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can either reinforce or contradict the model's lean. Taken together, the form, Poisson and defensive metrics favor Guastatoya avoiding defeat, while the away side's scoreless road record and the strong under-3.5 trends make a low-scoring draw or narrow home result the most coherent reading of the evidence.

Predicted winner

Guastatoya

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Guastatoya or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.