China · League Two

Guangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Yingbo B Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Guangdong Mingtu or draw and -3.5 goals

Guangdong Mingtu badgeGuangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Yingbo B badgeDalian Yingbo B

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, leaving the away side a marginal 10 percent, which frames the double chance as the safer expression of its lean.
  • Guangdong's defensive rating of 83 against Dalian's attack of 56 explains why the model still favours the home side despite Dalian's superior attacking output.
  • Both teams' goal records show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, supporting the under 3.5 selection as the more reliable half of the combined advice.
  • Guangdong's 12 clean sheets and low scoring rate of one goal per game point to a tight, low-event contest rather than an open home win.
  • Dalian's away scoring average of 0.5 goals per game further weakens their already slim 10 percent win probability, reinforcing the double chance.
  • The absence of head-to-head history means the prediction rests on season-long form and goal data, so the draw component carries genuine uncertainty.
Predicted winner
Guangdong Mingtu
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Guangdong Mingtu or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorGuangdong MingtuDalian Yingbo B
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence83.0%17.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total59.8%40.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Guangdong Mingtu

Recent form: DLDLLDDLDWDWDLWDDWDDWLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Dalian Yingbo B

Recent form: DWDDDLDDLWDWWDDLLLWDWLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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