Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B

Gualaceo SC vs 22 de Julio Prediction

· Estadio Jorge Andrade

Gualaceo SC badgeGualaceo SC vs 22 de Julio badge22 de Julio

Match prediction

  • Gualaceo's far stronger form and defensive record justify favoring them, though the model's equal home and draw probabilities explain the double-chance advice.
  • 22 de Julio's severe losing form and weak attack make an away win unlikely, supporting the exclusion of that outcome.
  • Gualaceo's low scoring average and 22 de Julio's frequent failures to score suggest a tight, low-scoring match, which raises draw risk.
  • Head-to-head results are split with recent meetings low-scoring, reinforcing that a draw is a genuine possibility rather than a formality.
  • Gualaceo's strong home defensive record and 22 de Julio's poor away scoring support the home side avoiding defeat.
  • The model's 45 percent home and 45 percent draw probabilities show no clear winner, so the double chance correctly covers both likely outcomes.
Predicted winner
Gualaceo SC
Betting advice
Double chance : Gualaceo SC or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorGualaceo SC22 de Julio
Form93.0%7.0%
Attack73.0%27.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson87.0%13.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total72.6%27.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Gualaceo SC

Recent form: LLWDDWDWDDLWLWWDLDLLDWWWDW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

22 de Julio

Recent form: WLDLWLDLDLLWLLLLWLLLLLLLLD.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. 22 de Julio 0–3 Gualaceo SC (04 Sep 2026)
  2. Gualaceo SC 0–1 22 de Julio (18 Jul 2026)
  3. 22 de Julio 0–0 Gualaceo SC (29 Apr 2026)
  4. Gualaceo SC 2–2 22 de Julio (04 Jun 2025)
  5. 22 de Julio 1–1 Gualaceo SC (26 Mar 2025)
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