Guadiana vs Cabeza Buey Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Cabeza Buey as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with Guadiana at 0%, so the advice is better read as a preference against a home win than as a confident away victory. That tension is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Cabeza Buey dominates form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (80.00 vs 20.00) and the Poisson measure (100.00 vs 0.00), while Guadiana holds only a modest edge in defence (40.00 vs 60.00 in Cabeza Buey's favour) and the head-to-head and goals columns are both level at 0.00, meaning those two dimensions offer no separation at all. The overall totals (30.00 vs 70.00) confirm the same directional bias, but the fact that the goals and head-to-head inputs are empty suggests the model's edge rests mainly on recent form rather than on scoring or historical matchups. Guadiana's team analysis reinforces that weakness: three defeats in three, a three-match losing streak, no clean sheets, and only one goal scored across 0-2 and 3-1 losses, with two of three matches ending without a goal. Cabeza Buey's record is more mixed than the form score implies, since their 1-3 win at Montijo is their only victory and it came away, while both home fixtures ended in 1-2 defeats, so their 100.00 form rating is built on a small and inconsistent sample. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast: Guadiana average just 0.30 goals scored and concede 2.00 per game, whereas Cabeza Buey average 1.30 scored and 1.30 conceded, with their away scoring average of 3.00 inflated by that single Montijo result. Cabeza Buey's goals are spread across four different 15-minute windows, which hints at a broader attacking threat than Guadiana's single 31-45 minute goal, though both teams concede across multiple periods and neither has kept a clean sheet. The last-five records extend the picture beyond the three league games: Guadiana have lost all three listed matches, while Cabeza Buey show two wins and three defeats across five, including older May results, so their recent form is not uniformly strong. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct meeting evidence can support or undermine the prediction, and with the draw probability equal to the away probability, the model's own numbers suggest the away win is far from assured.

Predicted winner

Cabeza Buey

Betting advice

Winner : Cabeza Buey

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.