Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC a 45% win probability and Guadalupe FC only 10%, with a 45% draw chance, so the double-chance advice of draw or Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Pitbulls dominate form (92.00 vs 8.00), attack (69.00 vs 31.00), defence (67.00 vs 33.00), and especially the Poisson measure (100.00 vs 0.00), while head-to-head and goals split evenly at 50.00 each and the total aggregate favours the visitors 65.60 to 34.40. The team analysis explains this gap: Guadalupe's overall record is 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses with a form string of WDLLDLLL, whereas Pitbulls sit at 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss with DWDWWWWL, including a four-match winning streak. Guadalupe's home splits are especially weak, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 home defeats, no home clean sheets, and failure to score in all four home matches, which is a small but consistent sample that undercuts any home advantage at Estadio Coyella Fonseca. Pitbulls' goal profile is also more balanced, averaging 1.80 scored and 1.10 conceded across eight games, compared with Guadalupe's 1.00 scored and 1.90 conceded, and Pitbulls have scored in every match while Guadalupe have been shut out four times. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Guadalupe have lost four of five, including 0-3 at home to Futbol Consultants Moravia and 0-1 home defeats to CS Uruguay and AD Carmelita, while Pitbulls won four of five before a 1-2 away loss to Cariari Pococi. The head-to-head record is far less decisive, consisting of a single 2-2 draw in August 2026, so the even 50-50 split there is a one-match sample that should not be read as a strong signal either way. The goal-timing data adds a further qualifier, since Guadalupe concede heavily in the 31-45 and 61-75 windows (five goals each) and Pitbulls score most in the 61-75 and 76-90 windows (three each), suggesting late-game pressure could matter. Overall, the form, Poisson, and defensive evidence jointly support the draw-or-away advice, but the even head-to-head and goals splits, plus the modest 45% away probability, mean the prediction should be treated as a directional lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2–2 Guadalupe FC (11 Aug 2026)