Guadalajara W vs Juárez W Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% Juárez W split justifies double chance, since Guadalajara's 10% home win probability is the clear outlier.
• Juárez's superior form and defensive scores, plus five clean sheets, support their edge despite Guadalajara's head-to-head advantage.
• Guadalajara's attack-defense imbalance, strong scoring but weak defence, explains why the model still leaves them only a narrow home chance.
• Juárez's away scoring average of 0.80 contrasts with their overall form, suggesting the double chance hedge protects against a low-scoring away display.
• Recent head-to-head results are mostly draws or one-goal margins, reinforcing the draw component rather than a decisive Juárez win.
• Juárez's five-match winning streak and Guadalajara's alternating form make the away side likelier, but the draw remains a genuine fallback.

Predicted winner

Juárez W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Juárez W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Juárez W 1–1 Guadalajara W (21 Apr 2026)
2. Guadalajara W 1–0 Juárez W (01 Aug 2025)
3. Guadalajara W 0–0 Juárez W (17 Jan 2025)
4. Juárez W 0–1 Guadalajara W (05 Jul 2024)
5. Juárez W 2–0 Guadalajara W (15 Jan 2024)