Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away pick.
• Guadalajara's 10% win probability aligns with a home side that has lost twice in three and failed to score in its only away outing.
• Gimnástica's superior form, attack, and Poisson scores support their edge, though two losses in four show the inconsistency behind the cautious double chance.
• Both teams scoring in nearly every match and Gimnástica's 2.00 goals-per-game average justify the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
• Head-to-head leans Gimnástica but includes a draw and a Guadalajara home win, reinforcing that the draw leg carries real value.
• Guadalajara's defensive weakness at home, conceding twice per game, offsets their home advantage and keeps the away side favoured.

Predicted winner

Gimnástica Segoviana

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Gimnástica Segoviana and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Gimnástica Segoviana 2–0 Guadalajara (27 Mar 2024)
2. Guadalajara 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana (22 Oct 2023)
3. Guadalajara 3–1 Gimnástica Segoviana (07 May 2023)
4. Gimnástica Segoviana 2–1 Guadalajara (08 Jan 2023)