Mexico · Liga MX U21

Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Juarez U21 Prediction

Guadalajara Chivas U21 badgeGuadalajara Chivas U21 vs Juarez U21 badgeJuarez U21

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since Juarez's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
  • Guadalajara's superior form and attack ratings support the home side, though their weaker defence tempers outright-win confidence.
  • Juarez's recent run of three draws and two losses shows limited winning threat, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
  • Head-to-head history is split evenly with three draws in four meetings, strengthening the case for covering the draw.
  • Juarez's low 1.00 goals-per-game average and 59% Poisson share conflict, suggesting the away side is competitive but not favoured.
  • Guadalajara's home record of one win in four undermines home advantage, making the draw protection essential rather than optional.
Predicted winner
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Betting advice
Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorGuadalajara Chivas U21Juarez U21
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Guadalajara Chivas U21

Recent form: LLWLWWWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Juarez U21

Recent form: LWDWLLWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Guadalajara Chivas U21 0–0 Juarez U21 (10 May 2026)
  2. Juarez U21 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas U21 (08 May 2026)
  3. Juarez U21 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas U21 (13 Jan 2026)
  4. Guadalajara Chivas U21 2–0 Juarez U21 (16 Aug 2025)
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