Grosseto vs Sambenedettese Prediction
· Stadio Carlo Zecchini
Match prediction
- Grosseto's unbeaten seven-match record, with four clean sheets, underpins the home-or-draw advice more than the even 50-50 split suggests.
- Sambenedettese's five defeats and zero clean sheets in seven matches explain why the model assigns them no win probability.
- The draw probability matches the home win despite Grosseto's superior form, reflecting that both teams have drawn and that Grosseto's attack is not prolific.
- Grosseto's defence concedes only 0.6 goals per game while Sambenedettese ship 1.9, a gap that supports avoiding an away win.
- Sambenedettese score most of their goals late, but their heavy 61-75 minute concession rate against Grosseto's balanced scoring favours the home side.
- The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics, which consistently favour Grosseto or a draw.
- Predicted winner
- Grosseto
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Grosseto or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Grosseto | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92.0% | 8.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 79.0% | 21.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Grosseto
Recent form: DWWDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Sambenedettese
Recent form: DLLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


