Poland · III Liga - Group 2

Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin Prediction

Grom Nowy Staw badgeGrom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin badgeBałtyk Koszalin

Match prediction

  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Grom Nowy Staw's superior attack and form ratings align with their higher goal output, supporting the home side of the double chance.
  • Baltyk Koszalin's weaker attack and defence ratings, plus two scoreless games, suggest they are unlikely to dominate away from home.
  • Both teams' goal data show frequent overs at 1.5, making the +1.5 goals component consistent with their combined scoring patterns.
  • Grom's leaky defence and Baltyk's late-goal tendency mean the draw remains a live outcome, justifying its equal probability.
  • The absence of head-to-head data leaves recent form and goal metrics as the main basis, which favours the cautious double-chance approach.
Predicted winner
Grom Nowy Staw
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Grom Nowy Staw or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorGrom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
Form59.0%41.0%
Attack68.0%32.0%
Defence37.0%63.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Grom Nowy Staw

Recent form: LWLLLWDLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Bałtyk Koszalin

Recent form: LDLWDWDLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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