Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern
Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away win.
- Bayern's superior defensive rating and recent form, including four clean sheets, support their edge, though the model still cannot separate them from a draw.
- Fürth's attack rating exceeds Bayern's, but their weak defence and five away losses in six suggest they concede chances even when scoring.
- Both recent head-to-head meetings ended level, reinforcing the draw component of the advice while older results show no stable pattern.
- Bayern's last five include three wins and two clean sheets, a small but consistent sample that justifies covering them alongside the draw.
- Fürth's home record is comparatively solid, so the low 10% home probability may understate their chances despite the overall away lean.
- Predicted winner
- Bayern München II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Bayern München II
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Greuther Fürth II | Bayern München II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Greuther Fürth II
Recent form: LLLWLLWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Bayern München II
Recent form: LLDLWWLDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Greuther Fürth II 1–1 Bayern München II (21 Mar 2026)
- Bayern München II 1–1 Greuther Fürth II (28 Oct 2025)
- Greuther Fürth II 5–1 Bayern München II (26 Apr 2025)
- Bayern München II 4–0 Greuther Fürth II (29 Oct 2024)
- Greuther Fürth II 1–2 Bayern München II (11 May 2024)