World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Greece U21 vs Latvia U21 Prediction

· Levadia Stadium

Greece U21 badgeGreece U21 vs Latvia U21 badgeLatvia U21

Match prediction

  • Greece's perfect away record and six clean sheets underpin the model's home win, though the 50% draw probability signals the market sees real risk.
  • Latvia's single win in eight matches and four scoreless outings explain their near-zero win probability, making the away side's chances negligible.
  • Greece's 3.00 goals-per-game average against Latvia's 0.50 suggests a comfortable home win, yet the 50% draw probability tempers that expectation.
  • Latvia's 2.00 goals-against average and five losses in eight games support the home win, but their recent draw with Georgia shows they can frustrate stronger sides.
  • The head-to-head record favors Greece, but the single 1-0 away win is a narrow sample that may not fully justify the 100% h2h dominance.
  • Greece's recent losses to Germany and Qatar, plus a draw with Croatia, show vulnerability that the model's 50% draw probability reflects.
Predicted winner
Greece U21
Betting advice
Winner : Greece U21
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorGreece U21Latvia U21
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack83.0%17.0%
Defence82.0%18.0%
Poisson95.0%5.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total83.8%16.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Greece U21

Recent form: WWWWWWLW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Latvia U21

Recent form: LDLLWDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Latvia U21 0–1 Greece U21 (14 Oct 2025)
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