Grbalj vs Rudar Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Grbalj a 45% home win and 45% draw against Rudar, leaving only 10% for an away win, so the double-chance advice on Grbalj or draw reflects a fixture the model sees as highly likely to avoid a Rudar victory. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Grbalj leads on form (57 vs 43), defence (69 vs 31), Poisson (75 vs 25), head-to-head (62 vs 38), goals (54 vs 46) and total (60 vs 40), while Rudar's only clear edge is attack (57 vs 43). The team analysis adds nuance: Grbalj's six-game record of two wins, three draws and one loss includes three home draws and no home defeats, whereas Rudar's seven-game record of two wins, three draws and two losses is more volatile, with a two-game losing streak and a 0-3 home defeat. Grbalj's goals profile is notably tighter, conceding only 0.80 per game overall and 0.50 at home with two home clean sheets, while Rudar concedes 1.60 per game and has kept just one clean sheet all season, which helps explain the defensive gap in the comparison. Rudar's attacking numbers are the counterweight, averaging 1.70 goals away and scoring four in a 4-2 win at Lovćen, but their 11 goals conceded against Grbalj's five suggest that threat comes with defensive exposure. The last-five records show Grbalj unbeaten in four listed matches with a 3-0 win over Berane and a 0-0 draw with Mladost Lješkopolje, while Rudar's five include a 4-2 win, three draws and a 0-3 loss to Mogren, so both recent samples lean toward low-separation results rather than dominance. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed across ten meetings, with Grbalj winning three, Rudar winning four and three draws, including a 2-1 Grbalj home win in December 2025 and a 1-2 Grbalj away win in April 2026, which supports the home side's recent edge but warns that Rudar have won this fixture before. Overall, the evidence points toward Grbalj avoiding defeat rather than a guaranteed win, since the 45% draw probability and the teams' shared tendency toward tight, low-scoring games mean the double chance is the more defensible reading of the data.

Predicted winner

Grbalj

Betting advice

Double chance : Grbalj or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Rudar 1–2 Grbalj (08 Apr 2026)
2. Grbalj 2–1 Rudar (06 Dec 2025)
3. Rudar 2–1 Grbalj (04 Oct 2025)
4. Grbalj 1–1 Rudar (16 Aug 2025)
5. Grbalj 1–1 Rudar (14 May 2025)