Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla Prediction

Match prediction

• Virtus Francavilla's perfect five-win form and superior attack and defence ratings justify favouring them, though the draw's equal 45% probability explains the double-chance advice.
• Gravina's two home wins without defeat, including a 3-1 victory, show they are harder to beat at home than their low 10% win probability suggests.
• The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with two draws and one win each, supporting the draw component of the double chance.
• Virtus Francavilla's tighter defence, conceding only 0.80 goals per game versus Gravina's 1.00, strengthens their claim to avoid defeat.
• Gravina's tendency to fail scoring in two away matches contrasts with their stronger home scoring, making a home win unlikely but a draw plausible.
• Both teams' goal patterns show most matches staying under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest where the draw-or-away double chance is sensible.

Predicted winner

Virtus Francavilla

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Virtus Francavilla

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Virtus Francavilla 0–1 Gravina (22 Feb 2026)
2. Gravina 0–0 Virtus Francavilla (19 Oct 2025)
3. Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Gravina (09 Feb 2025)
4. Gravina 0–1 Virtus Francavilla (13 Oct 2024)