Granada vs Eibar W Prediction

Match prediction

• Eibar's stronger recent form and four clean sheets in five justify the draw-or-away double chance despite Granada's home advantage.
• Granada's leaky defence, conceding 2.5 goals per home game, supports the under-3.5 goals element while undermining any home win case.
• The model's near-even 45/45 split between away win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty, making the double chance the safer expression of Eibar's edge.
• Granada's superior head-to-head record and attack metrics conflict with their poor form, explaining why the model still assigns them only a slim home probability.
• Eibar's low scoring rate, just 0.8 goals per game, combined with Granada's defensive frailty, points toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
• Both teams' goal data showing no matches exceeding 3.5 goals reinforces the under-3.5 selection alongside the double chance.

Predicted winner

Eibar W

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Eibar W and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Eibar W 0–2 Granada (07 Feb 2026)
2. Granada 3–1 Eibar W (20 Sep 2025)
3. Eibar W 0–0 Granada (25 Jan 2025)
4. Granada 2–0 Eibar W (21 Sep 2024)
5. Eibar W 0–2 Granada (15 Jun 2024)