Granada CF vs FC Andorra Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Granada CF as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice rests on a narrow edge rather than clear dominance, with Andorra at only 10%. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Granada leads on form (100.00 to 0.00), attack (67.00 to 33.00), defence (60.00 to 40.00), Poisson (86.00 to 14.00) and goals (60.00 to 40.00), yet the head-to-head split is perfectly even at 50.00 apiece. Granada's six-game record of DWWLDL shows two wins, two draws and two defeats, with both losses and both failures to score coming away from home, while their home fixtures produced a win and a draw without defeat. Andorra's WLLLLL is far weaker in aggregate, one win and five defeats, and their defensive numbers are the clearest fault line: 13 goals conceded at 2.20 per game, no clean sheets in six, and 2.50 conceded per away match. Granada's goals analysis is more balanced than the headline advice suggests, since they have scored 8 and conceded 8, with a 0.50 home concession rate but a 1.80 away rate, and their goals are concentrated late (33.33% in both the 46-60 and 76-90 windows). Andorra's scoring is similarly back-loaded, with 30% each in the 46-60 and 61-75 bands, but their 41.67% of goals conceded in the 76-90 window points to late vulnerability that could matter if the game stays close. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Granada have W, L, D, L, W including a 2-0 home win over Mallorca and a 3-1 away win at Cordoba, whereas Andorra have lost all five, conceding three or more in three of them. The head-to-head record offers the strongest counterweight, as all four meetings since 2022 were decided by no more than two goals and the two most recent, in March 2026 and October 2025, both finished as draws, which helps explain why the draw probability equals the home win probability. Overall, the evidence points toward Granada avoiding defeat more convincingly than toward a comfortable win, and the small six-game samples plus the recent head-to-head stalemates mean the 45% home figure should be treated as a modest lean rather than a firm conclusion.

Predicted winner

Granada CF

Betting advice

Winner : Granada CF

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Granada CF 1–1 FC Andorra (15 Mar 2026)
2. FC Andorra 0–0 Granada CF (17 Oct 2025)
3. Granada CF 2–0 FC Andorra (28 Jan 2023)
4. FC Andorra 1–0 Granada CF (04 Sep 2022)