Spain · Primera División Femenina
Granad. Tenerife W vs Edf Logrono W Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split between home win, draw, and away win makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of its uncertainty.
- Tenerife's superior head-to-head record and defensive edge support their inclusion, though Logrono's stronger recent form and Poisson score caution against a straight win.
- Both attacks average under a goal per game, and neither side has exceeded 2.5 goals in any match, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals selection.
- Logrono's away defensive record is notably stronger than their home record, which tempers Tenerife's home advantage despite the venue factor.
- Tenerife's tendency to concede heavily against top opposition, including a 5-0 loss, suggests the clean-sheet element of the advice carries risk.
- The draw probability matching the home win probability indicates the model sees genuine parity, making the combined double chance the safer expression of the prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Granad. Tenerife W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Granad. Tenerife W or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Granad. Tenerife W | Edf Logrono W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Granad. Tenerife W
Recent form: LDDLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Edf Logrono W
Recent form: WLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Edf Logrono W 0–1 Granad. Tenerife W (22 Mar 2026)
- Granad. Tenerife W 1–1 Edf Logrono W (14 Dec 2025)
- Edf Logrono W 2–1 Granad. Tenerife W (16 May 2021)
- Granad. Tenerife W 2–0 Edf Logrono W (15 Nov 2020)
- Edf Logrono W 1–1 Granad. Tenerife W (19 Jan 2020)