Grama vs Vilassar Mar Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Grama a 35% home win and 35% draw against Vilassar Mar's 30%, so the "Grama or draw" double chance rests on a narrow combined 70% edge rather than a clear favourite. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Grama leads on form (57 vs 43), attack (60 vs 40), defence (57 vs 43) and especially Poisson (64 vs 36), and holds a modest 52.30 to 47.70 total advantage. However, the same comparison set contains two counterweights: Vilassar Mar leads goals 64 to 36 and head-to-head 60 to 40, meaning the model's own inputs are not unanimous. The head-to-head record explains that split, since Vilassar Mar won four of the last ten meetings and Grama three, with the venue often deciding matters, including Grama's 1-0 home win in May 2026 and Vilassar Mar's 2-0 home win in January 2026. Recent form is similarly mixed: Grama's last five read W-D-W-D-L with only three league fixtures played this season, while Vilassar Mar's read W-L-L-L-L, a small sample that nonetheless tilts the form metric toward Grama. Grama's goals analysis shows a balanced 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded per game, with all three goals spread across the 16-30, 61-75 and 76-90 windows, whereas Vilassar Mar average just 0.70 scored and 1.30 conceded, conceding twice inside the opening 15 minutes. Both teams' performance records are thin at three fixtures each, and neither has scored a penalty, so the attacking and defensive splits should be treated as early-season signals rather than settled trends. The main tension is therefore between Grama's stronger form, defensive and Poisson profile and Vilassar Mar's superior goals and head-to-head numbers, which together justify the cautious double-chance advice rather than a confident home win.

Predicted winner

Grama

Betting advice

Double chance : Grama or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Grama 1–0 Vilassar Mar (10 May 2026)
2. Vilassar Mar 2–0 Grama (10 Jan 2026)
3. Grama 2–1 Vilassar Mar (02 Feb 2025)
4. Vilassar Mar 2–1 Grama (22 Sep 2024)
5. Vilassar Mar 2–0 Grama (28 Apr 2024)