Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias Prediction
Match prediction
- Duque de Caxias's 45% win probability is only level with the draw, so the winner advice carries clear uncertainty despite topping the market.
- Duque's attack rating of 73 versus Goytacaz's 27 and a 91 Poisson share support the away side as the stronger attacking unit.
- Both defences rate identically at 50, meaning Duque's edge rests on scoring output rather than any defensive superiority.
- Duque's three wins in four, including a 4-1 away victory, contrast with Goytacaz's mixed WDLW form and modest one-goal wins.
- Head-to-head favours Duque at 60%, though Goytacaz won the most recent 2021 and 2020 meetings at home.
- Goytacaz's low 0.80 goals-per-game average and failure to score in half their matches undercut any home advantage.
- Predicted winner
- Duque de Caxias
- Betting advice
- Winner : Duque de Caxias
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Goytacaz | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Goytacaz
Recent form: WDLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Duque de Caxias
Recent form: WWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Duque de Caxias 2–0 Goytacaz (18 Nov 2023)
- Goytacaz 0–1 Duque de Caxias (11 Nov 2023)
- Goytacaz 0–1 Duque de Caxias (30 Sep 2023)
- Goytacaz 1–0 Duque de Caxias (30 Oct 2021)
- Goytacaz 3–1 Duque de Caxias (21 Nov 2020)