Göteborg W vs Alingsås W Prediction
· Gamla Ullevi
Match prediction
- Göteborg's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, yet the model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the winner advice carries real risk.
- Göteborg never failed to score across 20 matches while Alingsås failed to score in eight, supporting the home side's edge in attacking reliability.
- Alingsås's away form is marginally better than their home form, and their recent away results include a win and a draw, which tempers any assumption of home dominance.
- The only head-to-head meeting ended level and goal metrics are split evenly, so the draw probability is not merely a modelling artefact.
- Göteborg's recent five matches produced just one win, showing the season-long form advantage is not currently translating into momentum.
- Both teams score most heavily after 76 minutes, suggesting late goals could unsettle a prediction that already treats the draw as equally likely.
- Predicted winner
- Göteborg W
- Betting advice
- Winner : Göteborg W
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Göteborg W | Alingsås W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Göteborg W
Recent form: LWDWWWWWDWDDWWWWWDLD.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Alingsås W
Recent form: LLDWLLWLDLDDDLWDLWDL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Alingsås W 1–1 Göteborg W (24 Apr 2026)