England · Non League Premier - Southern South

Gosport Borough vs Poole Town Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Gosport Borough or draw

Gosport Borough badgeGosport Borough vs Poole Town badgePoole Town

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance despite Poole Town's superior recent form.
  • Poole Town's 60% form and 58% Poisson edge conflict with Gosport's 80% head-to-head dominance, explaining the cautious draw-inclusive advice.
  • Gosport's unbeaten home record with two wins and two draws supports avoiding an outright away pick.
  • Poole Town's six wins and zero draws suggest the draw half of double chance carries real risk.
  • Both attacks rate equally at 50%, while Gosport's weaker defence concedes the edge Poole Town's form exploits.
  • Gosport's 1.80 home scoring average against Poole's 1.80 away average points to goals, yet the model offers no over/under call.
Predicted winner
Gosport Borough
Betting advice
Double chance : Gosport Borough or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorGosport BoroughPoole Town
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total52.8%47.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Gosport Borough

Recent form: LLDWWLWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Poole Town

Recent form: WLLWWLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Gosport Borough 1–0 Poole Town (21 Mar 2026)
  2. Poole Town 0–1 Gosport Borough (01 Nov 2025)
  3. Gosport Borough 0–3 Poole Town (13 Sep 2025)
  4. Gosport Borough 1–0 Poole Town (08 Feb 2025)
  5. Poole Town 1–3 Gosport Borough (02 Nov 2024)
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