Górnik Zabrze U19 vs Arka Gdynia U19 Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's even 45-45 split between home win and draw, with Arka at only 10%, directly supports the double-chance advice rather than a straight home win.
- Górnik's superior form, attack, defence, head-to-head and goals metrics align with the advice, though the Poisson split favouring Arka is a notable counterweight.
- Górnik's five draws in eight matches, including three straight, make the draw component of the double chance especially relevant.
- Arka's four defeats in their last five, including heavy away losses, weaken their case despite the Poisson model's contrary lean.
- Górnik's low scoring average and frequent failure to score suggest the draw leg carries real weight, tempering confidence in an outright home victory.
- Head-to-head results are mixed across five meetings, so the strong h2h metric should be treated cautiously rather than as decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Górnik Zabrze U19
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Górnik Zabrze U19 or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Górnik Zabrze U19 | Arka Gdynia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Attack | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Górnik Zabrze U19
Recent form: DDDLDDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Arka Gdynia U19
Recent form: DDWDLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Arka Gdynia U19 2–3 Górnik Zabrze U19 (06 Apr 2025)
- Górnik Zabrze U19 0–0 Arka Gdynia U19 (28 Sep 2024)
- Arka Gdynia U19 1–2 Górnik Zabrze U19 (26 May 2024)
- Górnik Zabrze U19 2–0 Arka Gdynia U19 (12 Nov 2023)
- Arka Gdynia U19 0–2 Górnik Zabrze U19 (11 Mar 2023)