Poland · Ekstraliga Women

Górnik Łęczna W vs GKS Katowice W Prediction

Górnik Łęczna W badgeGórnik Łęczna W vs GKS Katowice W badgeGKS Katowice W

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% win probability.
  • Górnik Łęczna's perfect five-win form and superior defensive rating support the home-or-draw selection despite Katowice's stronger attacking metrics.
  • Katowice's 100% Poisson rating conflicts with their low win probability, suggesting the model weights recent form and defence more heavily than raw scoring potential.
  • Both teams have scored in every recent match, so the draw component of the advice remains plausible even if Górnik's winning streak ends.
  • Head-to-head results split 60-40 toward Górnik, but alternating home dominance makes venue advantage less decisive than the form gap implies.
  • Górnik's 0.50 goals-against average versus Katowice's 1.30 supports the home side avoiding defeat, though Katowice's away scoring record adds uncertainty.
Predicted winner
Górnik Łęczna W
Betting advice
Double chance : Górnik Łęczna W or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorGórnik Łęczna WGKS Katowice W
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence63.0%38.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total55.2%45.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Górnik Łęczna W

Recent form: WWWWW.

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

GKS Katowice W

Recent form: WWDWW.

Average goals scored: 3.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Górnik Łęczna W 2–1 GKS Katowice W (02 May 2026)
  2. GKS Katowice W 0–4 Górnik Łęczna W (03 Oct 2025)
  3. Górnik Łęczna W 2–0 GKS Katowice W (26 Apr 2025)
  4. GKS Katowice W 2–0 Górnik Łęczna W (05 Oct 2024)
  5. Górnik Łęczna W 0–4 GKS Katowice W (16 Mar 2024)
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