3. Lig - Group 1 · Turkey
Gölcükspor vs Orduspor 1967 Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Gölcükspor with a double chance of win or draw, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Orduspor 1967, so the advice is essentially a bet against an away victory. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Orduspor lead on form (56.00 vs 44.00), attack (55.00 vs 45.00) and defence (57.00 vs 43.00), yet the Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 in Gölcükspor's favour is an extreme, model-driven value that conflicts with those same form and quality indicators. The goals data deepen that tension: Orduspor have scored six goals in three games (2.00 per match) and conceded only three (1.00 per match), while Gölcükspor have scored five (1.70 per match) but shipped four, all of them away from home, giving them a 0.00 home goals-against average. Gölcükspor's own record is a mixed LWD across three matches, with a 2-0 home win over Silivrispor, a 3-3 away draw at Yalova Yeşilovaspor and a 1-0 away loss to Amasyaspor 1968, plus two missed penalties from two attempts, which hints at wastefulness in promising positions. Orduspor's DDW is unbeaten but draw-heavy, including 2-2 at home to Düzcespor and 1-1 away at Tokat Bld Plevnespor, and their 10-0 win over Torul Belediye Genclik in the last five is such an outlier that it inflates their attacking figures without necessarily reflecting this level of opposition. The last-five lists also contain older 2023 and April 2026 entries for both sides, so the recent three-match samples are small and the form strings should be treated as indicative rather than decisive. The head-to-head section is empty, meaning there is no historical meeting data to either reinforce or undercut the home-side lean, and the goals and head-to-head comparison columns are likewise zeroed out. Overall, the probabilities and the Poisson edge point one way while the form, attack and defensive metrics point the other, so the double chance looks like a hedge against Orduspor's superior underlying numbers rather than a confident read on Gölcükspor.
- Predicted winner
- Gölcükspor
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Gölcükspor or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gölcükspor | Orduspor 1967 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gölcükspor
Recent form: LWD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Orduspor 1967
Recent form: DDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


