Gödöllő vs Tiszaújváros Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Gödöllő with a double-chance call of win or draw, expressed as 45% home, 45% draw and only 10% away, so the advice is essentially a bet against a Tiszaújváros victory rather than a strong vote for a home win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is dead level at 50.00 apiece and head-to-head is also split 50/50, meaning the two most direct historical and recent indicators offer no separation. The Poisson figures, however, are the most extreme input in the dataset, at 92.00 for Gödöllő against 8.00 for Tiszaújváros, and they are the clearest reason the away probability is squeezed so low. Gödöllő's team analysis supports that defensive read: four home wins from four, three home clean sheets, no home defeats and only one goal conceded at home, although their away record of one win and three losses, including a 4-0 defeat, shows the strength is venue-specific. Tiszaújváros are the more volatile side, with three wins and five defeats from eight, a three-match losing streak and a three-match winning streak already this season, and their away form of one win and three losses mirrors Gödöllő's road weakness. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: Gödöllő score 2.50 per home game and concede just 0.30 at home, while Tiszaújváros average 1.30 away but concede 1.80, and both teams' totals sit under 2.5 goals in six of eight matches, suggesting a low-scoring rather than open contest. Recent last-five records qualify the home case, because Gödöllő have lost two of their last five, including a 2-3 home defeat to Debreceni VSC, while Tiszaújváros have won three of five with a 4-2 away win at Karancslapujtő, so neither side arrives in dominant form. The head-to-head record is the most direct counterweight, as Tiszaújváros won the most recent meeting 2-1 in March 2026 and Gödöllő won 3-1 in August 2025, leaving the 50/50 split consistent with the model's refusal to back a clear home win. Overall, the evidence points to Gödöllő being difficult to beat at home and Tiszaújváros being capable of away goals, which supports the double-chance advice while the level form, split head-to-head and low goal totals argue against treating the 45% home probability as a firm edge.

Predicted winner

Gödöllő

Betting advice

Double chance : Gödöllő or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tiszaújváros 2–1 Gödöllő (22 Mar 2026)
2. Gödöllő 3–1 Tiszaújváros (31 Aug 2025)