Gobelins vs Bastia Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Bastia a combined 90% chance of winning or drawing (45% draw, 45% away win) against Gobelins' 10%, and its advice pairs that double chance with under 3.5 goals. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Bastia lead on form (54.00 vs 46.00) and attack (56.00 vs 44.00), while Gobelins' only clear edge is defensive (58.00 vs 42.00). The Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 in Bastia's favour is far more emphatic than the head-to-head and goals comparison columns, which are both empty, so it should be read as a strong model signal rather than corroborated evidence. The team profiles add an important qualification: Bastia's form line of LWLWLWD is driven entirely by away results, with three wins and no defeats on the road but no home wins and three home losses, whereas Gobelins are unbeaten at home (two wins, two draws) yet winless away. Gobelins' goals analysis reinforces the low-scoring case, as they average just 0.70 goals per game and have stayed under 2.5 in all seven matches, with only one match exceeding 1.5 goals. Bastia's goal numbers are similarly modest at 0.90 per game, and although they have scored in every away match, their 2.30 goals conceded per home game contrasts sharply with a 0.00 away average, again pointing to venue as the decisive variable. The last-five records echo this split: Gobelins have three draws, a loss and a win with just four goals scored, while Bastia's away wins at Bourg-en-Bresse and Caen were both 1-0, alongside home defeats of 0-3 and 2-3. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to either support or undermine the model's lean toward Bastia. Overall, the evidence supports a low-scoring, closely contested match in which Bastia's away form and Gobelins' home resilience pull in opposite directions, making the draw-or-Bastia double chance with under 3.5 goals a plausible but far from certain reading.

Predicted winner

Bastia

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Bastia and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.