Northern-Ireland · Premiership

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts Prediction

· The BetMcLean Oval

Glentoran badgeGlentoran vs Dungannon Swifts badgeDungannon Swifts

Match prediction

  • The model's probabilities are nearly level, so the double-chance advice mainly reflects Glentoran's home advantage rather than a clear edge.
  • Glentoran's superior attack and Dungannon's weaker defence support the home side, though the head-to-head record actually favours the visitors.
  • Both teams share identical recent form, which tempers any assumption that Glentoran's home status guarantees control.
  • Dungannon's strong away record and clean sheets suggest they can frustrate, making the draw component of the advice meaningful.
  • Low-scoring profiles and Glentoran's tendency to concede late indicate a tight match where a single goal could decide it.
  • The narrow probability gap means covering both Glentoran and the draw is a reasonable hedge against the away side's counterattacking threat.
Predicted winner
Glentoran
Betting advice
Double chance : Glentoran or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorGlentoranDungannon Swifts
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total49.8%50.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Glentoran

Recent form: WLWLLDLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Dungannon Swifts

Recent form: LWWWWLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Glentoran 5–0 Dungannon Swifts (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Dungannon Swifts 0–2 Glentoran (31 Jan 2026)
  3. Glentoran 0–1 Dungannon Swifts (21 Nov 2025)
  4. Dungannon Swifts 3–1 Glentoran (11 Oct 2025)
  5. Dungannon Swifts 3–2 Glentoran (19 Apr 2025)
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