Girona vs Mallorca Prediction
· Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match prediction
- Girona's stronger attack and recent form outweigh Mallorca's superior defence, supporting the double-chance advice despite identical home and draw probabilities.
- Mallorca's five clean sheets and low goals conceded suggest the draw is a genuine threat, which justifies covering both outcomes rather than backing Girona outright.
- Girona's high-scoring home profile and Mallorca's weak away attack point to home advantage, though the narrow probability split keeps the draw firmly in play.
- Head-to-head results favour Mallorca, but those meetings came in La Liga, so their relevance to this Segunda División fixture is limited.
- Mallorca's away form and failure to score in three matches weaken their case, reinforcing the advice to cover Girona or the draw.
- The near-even three-way probabilities confirm no dominant side, making the double chance the appropriately cautious interpretation of the evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Girona
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Girona or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Girona | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Poisson | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Girona
Recent form: DLWWLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Mallorca
Recent form: WLWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Girona 0–1 Mallorca (01 May 2026)
- Mallorca 1–2 Girona (04 Jan 2026)
- Girona 1–0 Mallorca (05 May 2025)
- Mallorca 2–1 Girona (14 Dec 2024)
- Mallorca 1–0 Girona (03 Mar 2024)