Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Girona II vs Osasuna II Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Osasuna II with a "win or draw" double chance, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to an away win while leaving Girona II at just 10%, a split that reflects how strongly the comparison metrics favour the visitors. Those metrics show Osasuna II ahead on form (69 versus 31), defence (88 versus 13) and the Poisson measure (100 versus 0), whereas Girona II lead only on attack (57 versus 43), so the model's caution about a draw rather than an outright away win may stem from that single counter-signal. The team analysis reinforces the same tension: Osasuna II arrive with a perfect WWW record across three matches, two clean sheets and just one goal conceded, while Girona II's LWD start includes a 4-3 loss at Barbastro and no clean sheets at all. Girona II's goals analysis nonetheless shows genuine attacking output, averaging 2.70 goals scored per game with five of their eight goals coming away from home, which is why the attack metric is the one area where they outrank their opponent. That threat is offset by a defensive record conceding 2.30 per game on average, including three goals in the 16-30 minute window, against an Osasuna II side conceding only 0.30 per game and scoring half of their six goals after the 76th minute. The last-five records extend the pattern: Osasuna II's three most recent league fixtures are all wins (1-0 over Ebro, 4-1 over Arnedo, 1-0 at Reddis), though their two older entries are defeats, while Girona II's sequence mixes wins over Tudelano and Torrent with losses to Barbastro and Castellón II and a 2-2 draw at SD Logroñés. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or contradict the model's lean, and the goals and head-to-head comparison fields are also zeroed out, meaning those dimensions contribute nothing to the assessment. Overall, the evidence points to a short-sample form and defensive gap that justifies favouring Osasuna II, but Girona II's scoring rate and the absence of any head-to-head anchor keep the draw component of the double chance plausible rather than redundant.
- Predicted winner
- Osasuna II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Osasuna II
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Girona II | Osasuna II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Girona II
Recent form: LWD.
Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.
Osasuna II
Recent form: WWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


