Gimnastic vs Sant Andreu Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Gimnastic win, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice of a home winner is far from a clear-cut conclusion. The comparison metrics reinforce that split: Gimnastic leads on form (64.00 to 36.00), attack (67.00 to 33.00) and overall total (58.30 to 41.70), yet the Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 is an extreme, one-sided input that should be treated cautiously rather than as decisive proof. Gimnastic's four-match record of two wins, one draw and one loss is built almost entirely at home, where they have won both games and scored six goals without defeat, while both away matches produced no goals for and two failures to score. That home-versus-away contrast is the strongest support for the home-winner advice, and it is echoed in their goals analysis: 3.00 goals scored per home game against 0.00 away, with a 4-2 win over Algeciras and a 2-0 win over Zaragoza in the last five. Sant Andreu's form of one win, one draw and two losses is weaker, and their goals analysis shows the same asymmetry in reverse, with 1.50 goals per home game but 0.00 away and two away blanks. Their last five include a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid II, a 2-0 home win over Águilas and a 3-1 home win over Manresa, but also 2-0 and 1-0 away defeats, which suggests they can compete at home yet struggle to score on the road. Defensively the comparison is less one-sided than the attacking numbers imply, since Gimnastic's 44.00 defence rating is actually lower than Sant Andreu's 56.00, and Gimnastic conceded twice inside the opening 30 minutes across their matches, so the home side is not airtight. The head-to-head section is empty, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are zero, so there is no direct historical or goals-based evidence to break the near-even home/draw probability split. Overall, the home form, attacking output and venue advantage justify the Gimnastic advice, but the equal draw probability, the modest four-match samples and Sant Andreu's ability to keep home clean sheets mean the prediction should be read as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Gimnastic

Betting advice

Winner : Gimnastic

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.