World · UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Gibraltar U17 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's existing output gives Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 a 50% win probability and Gibraltar U17 0%, with the remaining 50% assigned to the draw, so the advice of a draw-or-Bosnia double chance plus over 1.5 goals is consistent with a forecast that sees no realistic home win but stops short of certainty.
- The comparison metrics reinforce that lean: form 100.00 vs 0.00, defence 73.00 vs 27.00, head-to-head 100.00 vs 0.00 and goals 91.00 vs 9.00 all favour Bosnia-Herzegovina, while attack is a narrower 60.00 vs 40.00 and the Poisson values are both 0.00, suggesting the model's edge rests more on Gibraltar's weaknesses than on a sharply defined Bosnian attacking profile.
- Gibraltar's two matches in this sample were both away defeats, 4-0 to Iceland and 4-2 to Greece, leaving them with two losses, no clean sheets and a goals-against average of 4.00; their wider last-five shows five defeats, including a 7-0 home loss to Moldova and a 4-0 loss to Bosnia-Herzegovina, which is the clearest basis for the 0% home win probability.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina's form is mixed rather than dominant: a 2-0 home win over Greece is offset by a 3-1 away loss to Iceland, and their last five also include a 3-2 home defeat to Finland and a 0-0 draw in Moldova, so the 100.00 form and head-to-head scores describe a stronger overall record than a flawless current run.
- The goals evidence supports the over 1.5 component: Gibraltar have conceded at least two in every listed match and over 2.5 in both recent games, while Bosnia-Herzegovina have scored in each of their last five and conceded in three of them, pointing to goals at both ends rather than a guaranteed clean sheet.
- The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal, with Bosnia-Herzegovina winning both meetings 4-0 in April 2026 and 6-1 in 2021, but those are only two matches and both were Bosnia home fixtures; the current fixture is listed with no venue, so the historical dominance should be treated as supporting rather than conclusive evidence for the existing advice.
- Predicted winner
- Bosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gibraltar U17 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Total | 25.3% | 74.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gibraltar U17
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Bosnia-Herzegovina U17
Recent form: WL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 4–0 Gibraltar U17 (26 Apr 2026)
- Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 6–1 Gibraltar U17 (07 Oct 2021)


