Italy · Serie D - Girone E

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio Prediction

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano badgeGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio badgeTau Altopascio

Match prediction

  • Tau Altopascio's 90 form rating against Ghivizzano's 10 justifies favoring the away side despite the draw receiving equal probability.
  • The 45-45 split between away win and draw supports the double chance advice, since the model sees little separating those outcomes.
  • Tau's three wins all came at home while both away trips ended in defeat, a split that tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
  • Ghivizzano's winless five-match run, including four losses, explains why the model assigns only 10 percent to a home win.
  • Tau's 3.50 away goals-against average against Ghivizzano's 0.60 scoring average suggests the hosts may struggle to exploit Tau's road vulnerability.
  • Head-to-head favors Tau with three wins and three draws across eight meetings, reinforcing the draw-or-away double chance over a home result.
Predicted winner
Tau Altopascio
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Tau Altopascio
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoTau Altopascio
Form10.0%90.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total37.5%62.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

Recent form: LLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Tau Altopascio

Recent form: WLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tau Altopascio 2–1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0–0 Tau Altopascio (20 Sep 2025)
  3. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1–2 Tau Altopascio (30 Aug 2025)
  4. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 2–2 Tau Altopascio (01 Sep 2024)
  5. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1–1 Tau Altopascio (07 Apr 2024)
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