Liga III - Serie 7 · Romania
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Poli Timisoara 2 Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Ghiroda și Giarmata Vii a 45% home win and 45% draw against Poli Timisoara 2's 10%, framing the advice as a double chance on the host or draw combined with over 1.5 goals. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Ghiroda lead on form (67 vs 33), defence (71 vs 29) and Poisson (65 vs 35), yet Poli Timisoara 2 edge attack (57 vs 43), so the two teams' profiles pull in different directions rather than pointing to a clear winner. The overall totals mirror this tension: Ghiroda hold a 61.5 to 38.5 advantage, but the goals and head-to-head comparison columns are both empty, meaning the model's edge rests on form, defence and Poisson rather than any scoring or historical matchup signal. Ghiroda's last five (LDDWD) show one win, three draws and one loss, with a 2-1 home win over Nera Bogodinți, a 0-0 away draw at Unirea Alba Iulia and a 3-3 home draw with Metalurgistul Cugir, suggesting a side that competes but struggles to close games out. Poli Timisoara 2's last five (LLWLL) are far more volatile, including a 3-2 home win over Universitatea Alba Iulia but heavy defeats such as 5-2 at Progresul Pecica and 4-1 at home to both Unirea Sântana and Cetate Deva. The goals analysis reinforces that contrast: Ghiroda average 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across five matches, while Poli Timisoara 2 average 1.60 scored but 3.40 conceded, with their defensive record inflated by 4.50 goals against per away game. Poli Timisoara 2 have scored in every match and failed to keep a clean sheet, whereas Ghiroda have one clean sheet and have failed to score twice, so the over 1.5 component of the advice looks reasonably supported even if the double chance is the safer half. The head-to-head section is unavailable, so no direct rivalry evidence can confirm or challenge the model's lean, and the small five-match samples mean the form and goal splits should be treated as indicative rather than decisive. On balance, the evidence supports the existing double chance and over 1.5 advice through Ghiroda's defensive and form superiority plus Poli Timisoara 2's leaky back line, but the 45% draw probability and Poli's superior attack keep the outcome genuinely uncertain.
- Predicted winner
- Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | Poli Timisoara 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
Recent form: LDDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Poli Timisoara 2
Recent form: LLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


