Romania · Liga III - Serie 1

Gheorgheni vs FC Bacău II Prediction

Gheorgheni badgeGheorgheni vs FC Bacău II badgeFC Bacău II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the logical expression of its near-equal top outcomes.
  • Gheorgheni's 10% win probability is consistent with a home record of two wins and three away defeats, all without a draw.
  • FC Bacău II's stronger form and superior head-to-head record support the away side, though their winless away record tempers that edge.
  • Gheorgheni's attack and defence metrics outrank the visitors', but their Poisson score of 66 conflicts with the model's low home win probability.
  • Both teams average around two goals conceded, suggesting a competitive match rather than a clear away dominance.
  • The head-to-head history shows FC Bacău II winning twice and drawing once, reinforcing the advice despite Gheorgheni's home advantage.
Predicted winner
FC Bacău II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or FC Bacău II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorGheorgheniFC Bacău II
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2h13.0%88.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total45.3%54.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Gheorgheni

Recent form: LLWLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

FC Bacău II

Recent form: WDWLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FC Bacău II 3–1 Gheorgheni (24 Apr 2026)
  2. Gheorgheni 4–4 FC Bacău II (06 Dec 2025)
  3. FC Bacău II 2–0 Gheorgheni (24 Sep 2025)
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