Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Getafe II vs Numancia Prediction
Match prediction
- Numancia's perfect defensive record and four clean sheets in four matches underpin the model's 50% away win probability and the double-chance advice.
- Getafe II's winless form with two losses and two draws, plus zero clean sheets, explains why the model assigns no home win probability.
- The head-to-head record favours Numancia with three wins from four meetings, reinforcing the away-side lean despite Getafe II hosting.
- Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5 goals, supporting the -3.5 goals component of the combo advice.
- Numancia's attack averages 1.30 goals while Getafe II concede 1.30 per game, suggesting a low-scoring contest consistent with the under recommendation.
- The draw probability matching the away win at 50% justifies the double-chance structure, as Getafe II's two draws hint at potential stalemate risk.
- Predicted winner
- Numancia
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Numancia and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Getafe II | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Getafe II
Recent form: DLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Numancia
Recent form: WWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Numancia 0–1 Getafe II (18 May 2025)
- Getafe II 0–2 Numancia (11 May 2025)
- Getafe II 0–3 Numancia (10 Mar 2024)
- Numancia 1–1 Getafe II (29 Oct 2023)


