Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Getafe II vs Numancia Prediction

Getafe II badgeGetafe II vs Numancia badgeNumancia

Match prediction

  • Numancia's perfect defensive record and four clean sheets in four matches underpin the model's 50% away win probability and the double-chance advice.
  • Getafe II's winless form with two losses and two draws, plus zero clean sheets, explains why the model assigns no home win probability.
  • The head-to-head record favours Numancia with three wins from four meetings, reinforcing the away-side lean despite Getafe II hosting.
  • Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5 goals, supporting the -3.5 goals component of the combo advice.
  • Numancia's attack averages 1.30 goals while Getafe II concede 1.30 per game, suggesting a low-scoring contest consistent with the under recommendation.
  • The draw probability matching the away win at 50% justifies the double-chance structure, as Getafe II's two draws hint at potential stalemate risk.
Predicted winner
Numancia
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Numancia and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorGetafe IINumancia
Form17.0%83.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total29.0%71.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Getafe II

Recent form: DLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Numancia

Recent form: WWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Numancia 0–1 Getafe II (18 May 2025)
  2. Getafe II 0–2 Numancia (11 May 2025)
  3. Getafe II 0–3 Numancia (10 Mar 2024)
  4. Numancia 1–1 Getafe II (29 Oct 2023)
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