Germany vs Serbia Prediction
Match prediction
- Serbia's 45% win probability and 45% draw probability together justify the double-chance advice, since Germany's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
- Germany's perfect form score conflicts with their actual DL record, so that metric likely reflects opponent quality rather than genuine dominance.
- Serbia's attack and goals ratings both sit at 67 against Germany's 33, supporting the model's lean toward the away side.
- Serbia's LL form and 2.00 goals-against average expose defensive fragility, which is why the draw carries equal weight to a Serbia win.
- The 80% head-to-head edge for Serbia rests on only two meetings, so it reinforces rather than anchors the prediction.
- Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring, one-goal margins, making a tight draw-or-Serbia outcome more plausible than a decisive result.
- Predicted winner
- Serbia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Serbia
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Germany | Serbia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Germany
Recent form: DL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Serbia
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Germany 1–1 Serbia (20 Mar 2019)
- Germany 0–1 Serbia (18 Jun 2010)