Germany U17 vs England U17 Prediction
Match prediction
- England's perfect three-match run and two clean sheets justify the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-England double chance.
- Germany's 50% form masks three away defeats, so their strong home record and 4.30 home scoring average carry the residual 10% home probability.
- England's 0.30 goals-against average against Germany's 2.00 away concession rate supports the away side's defensive edge in this friendly.
- The 5-7 head-to-head result and 100% Poisson and H2H splits toward England reinforce the model's lean, though a single meeting is a small sample.
- Germany's attack rating of 68 against England's defence of 88 creates the central tension, explaining why the draw probability matches the away win at 45%.
- England's recent 4-0 win contrasts with Germany's mixed March results, supporting the advice while the friendly context keeps the outcome uncertain.
- Predicted winner
- England U17
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or England U17
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Germany U17 | England U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Defence | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 57.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Germany U17
Recent form: LWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.
England U17
Recent form: WWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Germany U17 5–7 England U17 (09 Sep 2025)