Gemert vs FC Lisse Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Gemert avoids defeat in either outcome.
- Gemert's unbeaten home record with three draws supports the draw component, though their overall form of two wins in seven is modest.
- FC Lisse's five straight wins before two losses show real quality, but the model still rates them only 10% for an away victory.
- Head-to-head favours Gemert at 67%, with three of four meetings drawn and Gemert winning the other, reinforcing the double chance.
- FC Lisse's superior defence and recent form conflict with the low away probability, so the advice hedges against an away upset.
- Gemert's attack edge and higher goals rating offset their weaker form, keeping the home-or-draw outcome the model's preferred position.
- Predicted winner
- Gemert
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Gemert or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gemert | FC Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gemert
Recent form: DDLDWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
FC Lisse
Recent form: WWWWWLD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Gemert 1–1 FC Lisse (15 Mar 2026)
- FC Lisse 1–1 Gemert (11 Oct 2025)
- Gemert 2–0 FC Lisse (13 Apr 2025)
- FC Lisse 2–2 Gemert (09 Nov 2024)