Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Gavorrano with a double-chance call of “Gavorrano or draw,” assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Sasso Marconi Zola, so the advice effectively treats the away side as a marginal threat. That framing is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Gavorrano’s form score of 71.00 dwarfs Sasso Marconi’s 29.00, and the defensive split is even more lopsided at 88.00 versus 13.00, while the Poisson figures of 100.00 and 0.00 point in the same direction. The attack comparison is far less decisive at 55.00 against 45.00, which suggests the edge is built more on solidity than on overwhelming firepower, and the goals and head-to-head comparison fields are both recorded as 0.00, so they add no separating signal here. Gavorrano’s team analysis supports the defensive reading: an unbeaten WDWW form line across four matches with three wins, one draw, no defeats, three clean sheets, and no match in which they failed to score. Their goals analysis shows only six goals scored at 1.50 per game but just one conceded at 0.30 per game, with that single goal against arriving in the 0–15 or 61–75 windows, and every match staying under 2.5 total goals. Sasso Marconi’s WLDL record over the same four matches, with two home defeats and no clean sheets, contrasts sharply, and their goals analysis shows five scored at 1.30 per game against seven conceded at 1.80 per game, including three concessions in the 46–60 window alone. The last-five records add nuance rather than a clean sweep: Gavorrano have won four of five, including 2-0 away at San Donato Tavarnelle and 1-0 at home to Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano, while Sasso Marconi have won two of five but lost their two most recent home matches 0-1 to Prato and 1-3 to San Donato Tavarnelle. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can either confirm or undercut the model’s stance, and the small four-match samples behind the form and goals splits mean the 45% draw probability is a reasonable hedge rather than a firm separation between the two outcomes.
- Predicted winner
- Gavorrano
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Gavorrano or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gavorrano | Sasso Marconi Zola |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 71.3% | 29.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gavorrano
Recent form: WDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Sasso Marconi Zola
Recent form: WLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


