Gavião vs Belenense Prediction
Match prediction
- Belenense's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating justify favoring them, though the draw's equal 45% probability makes the double chance the safer expression.
- Gavião's stronger defence rating conflicts with Belenense's dominant attack, but the recent 1-0 head-to-head win supports Belenense's edge.
- Belenense's away form is volatile, with a 5-1 loss and a 2-2 draw, so the draw component of the double chance carries real weight.
- Both teams' recent matches produced low goal totals, yet Belenense's 8-0 home win shows scoring potential that supports the +1.5 goals line.
- Gavião's modest 1.20 goals-per-game average and Belenense's leaky away defence suggest goals are plausible but not guaranteed.
- The narrow 1-0 head-to-head result and Gavião's three clean sheets indicate a tight contest, reinforcing the draw-or-away double chance over a straight win.
- Predicted winner
- Belenense
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Belenense and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gavião | Belenense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gavião
Recent form: WWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Belenense
Recent form: LWWDW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Belenense 1–0 Gavião (28 Sep 2026)