Japan · Emperor Cup

Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction

· Axis Bird Stadium

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Tokyo Verdy and +1.5 goals

Gainare Tottori badgeGainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy badgeTokyo Verdy

Match prediction

  • Tokyo Verdy's 45% win and draw probability each, against Tottori's 10%, anchors the double-chance advice despite the model refusing to separate win from draw.
  • Tottori's superior form and attack scores conflict with Verdy's far stronger defence and head-to-head record, so the model hedges toward draw-or-away rather than a clear winner.
  • Verdy's recent away losses to Sagan Tosu and Urawa undercut their favourite status, supporting the draw component of the double chance.
  • Both teams' goals data show consistent scoring across recent matches, making the +1.5 goals component the more confident half of the advice.
  • Tottori's late-goal tendency, with most goals after the 76th minute, suggests the match could stay tight before opening up, favouring over 1.5.
  • The head-to-head record is small and dated to 2012-2013, so it strengthens Verdy's edge only weakly and cannot alone justify the prediction.
Predicted winner
Tokyo Verdy
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Tokyo Verdy and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorGainare TottoriTokyo Verdy
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h9.0%91.0%
Goals13.0%88.0%
Total32.0%68.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Gainare Tottori

Recent form: DW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Tokyo Verdy

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Gainare Tottori 1–1 Tokyo Verdy (07 Jul 2013)
  2. Tokyo Verdy 3–0 Gainare Tottori (14 Apr 2013)
  3. Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Gainare Tottori (15 Jul 2012)
  4. Gainare Tottori 0–2 Tokyo Verdy (09 Jun 2012)
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