1. Division Women · Norway

Fyllingsdalen W vs Grei W Prediction

Fyllingsdalen W badgeFyllingsdalen W vs Grei W badgeGrei W

Match prediction

The existing model gives Grei W a 45% chance of winning and Fyllingsdalen W only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, so the advice of a draw-or-Grei W double chance combined with over 1.5 goals rests on a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the away side. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Grei W leads on form (53 vs 47), attack (52 vs 48), defence (57 vs 43) and Poisson (56 vs 44), and the head-to-head split is stark at 91 to 9 in Grei W's favour. The goals comparison is similarly one-sided, with Grei W ahead 75 to 25 and the overall totals at 64 to 36, which supports the expectation of goals in this fixture. However, the team records introduce a note of caution: both sides have won six of 18 matches, and Fyllingsdalen W's home form is actually strong with five wins and no draws at home, while Grei W have drawn only twice all season. Fyllingsdalen W's recent form is volatile, with a 6-0 away loss to Viking FK W followed by two 4-2 home wins, and their season-long scoring of 27 goals against 47 conceded shows a leaky defence that Grei W's 34 goals for and 38 against could exploit. Grei W's last five are more encouraging, with three wins, a draw and a loss, including a 4-0 home win over Klepp W and a 3-2 win over TIL 2020 W, though the 5-0 defeat at Bryne W shows they can be badly beaten. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal, with Grei W winning the most recent meeting 3-1 in April 2026 and also winning 3-0 at home in 2023, while Fyllingsdalen W's only win in the sample came 1-0 in November 2023. The goals analysis further supports the over 1.5 angle, as Fyllingsdalen W have gone over 1.5 goals in only five of 18 matches but over 0.5 in 16, while Grei W have gone over 1.5 in nine of 18, suggesting the total-goals line is plausible but not certain. Overall, the evidence points toward Grei W avoiding defeat and goals being scored, but the small head-to-head sample and Fyllingsdalen W's home wins mean the prediction should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner
Grei W
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Grei W and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorFyllingsdalen WGrei W
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2h9.0%91.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total36.0%64.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Fyllingsdalen W

Recent form: LLWLLLLLLWWLLWLWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Grei W

Recent form: LWLWLLDLLLWLLWWLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Grei W 3–1 Fyllingsdalen W (26 Apr 2026)
  2. Fyllingsdalen W 0–1 Grei W (04 Nov 2023)
  3. Fyllingsdalen W 2–2 Grei W (17 Jun 2023)
  4. Grei W 3–0 Fyllingsdalen W (22 Apr 2023)
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