Fyllingsdalen vs Stord Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Stord, giving them a 45% win probability and an equal 45% draw chance while Fyllingsdalen sit at just 10%, and the advised combo of a Stord win with over 1.5 goals reflects that edge rather than any overwhelming dominance. That caution is warranted because the comparison metrics show Stord ahead on form (100 versus 0), attack (92 versus 8), Poisson (66 versus 34), head-to-head (62 versus 38) and overall totals (65.4 versus 34.6), yet the goals comparison is dead level at 50-50, which tempers the case for a comfortable away victory. Fyllingsdalen's team analysis explains the collapse in form: one win, three draws and sixteen defeats in twenty matches, with 16 goals scored against 62 conceded, including a 7-0 loss away to Brann II and another 7-0 at Sogndal II in their last five, all of which were defeats. Stord's record is far less disastrous but hardly commanding, with three wins, nine draws and eight losses, and their last five produced three draws plus defeats to Djerv and Fana, so their 100 form rating rests on a very small and mixed sample. The goals analysis reinforces the over 1.5 element more than the outright winner: Fyllingsdalen average 0.80 scored and 3.10 conceded per game, Stord 1.90 scored and 2.80 conceded, and both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in the majority of their matches, though Stord's own scoring has dipped below 2.5 in fourteen of twenty games. The head-to-head record offers the strongest counterweight to a simple Stord win, since the most recent meeting in May 2026 finished 2-2 and Fyllingsdalen won 3-1 at Varden Amfi in 2023, even though Stord took the other 2023 fixture 4-2 and a 2021 game 5-1. Stord's away form is also a qualification rather than a strength, as all three of their wins came on the road but they also suffered an 8-2 away defeat, while Fyllingsdalen managed only one home win and one home clean sheet all season. With no venue listed and the fixture not yet started, the evidence supports the model's preference for Stord and goals but leaves the draw probability of 45% as a genuine threat, meaning the advice should be read as a lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Stord

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Stord and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Stord 2–2 Fyllingsdalen (30 May 2026)
2. Stord 4–2 Fyllingsdalen (09 Sep 2023)
3. Fyllingsdalen 1–3 Stord (06 May 2023)
4. Stord 1–5 Fyllingsdalen (18 Sep 2021)
5. Stord —–— Fyllingsdalen (19 Sep 2020)