El-Salvador · Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo Prediction
Match prediction
- Firpo's dominant form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics justify the model's 45% away win probability, though the equal 45% draw share explains the double-chance advice.
- Fuerte San Francisco's single win in twelve matches and six scoreless outings signal limited attacking threat, supporting the under 3.5 goals component.
- Firpo's away record of zero wins in three contrasts sharply with six home wins, a split that tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
- Both teams' goal distributions show almost all matches staying under 3.5, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation despite Firpo's superior overall output.
- The head-to-head record heavily favours Firpo, yet Fuerte San Francisco's two away wins in that series show the fixture can still produce upsets.
- Firpo's recent away loss to CD Olimpia by three goals is the main counterweight to their strong form, keeping the draw a genuine possibility.
- Predicted winner
- Firpo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Firpo and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Fuerte San Francisco | Firpo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Attack | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Defence | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Poisson | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Total | 26.0% | 74.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Fuerte San Francisco
Recent form: DLDDWLLLLLDD.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Firpo
Recent form: DWWDWLWLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Firpo 4–0 Fuerte San Francisco (30 Jul 2026)
- Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Firpo (05 Apr 2026)
- Firpo 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco (08 Feb 2026)
- Fuerte San Francisco 1–4 Firpo (19 Oct 2025)
- Firpo 3–0 Fuerte San Francisco (17 Aug 2025)


