El-Salvador · Primera Division

Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo Prediction

Fuerte San Francisco badgeFuerte San Francisco vs Firpo badgeFirpo

Match prediction

  • Firpo's dominant form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics justify the model's 45% away win probability, though the equal 45% draw share explains the double-chance advice.
  • Fuerte San Francisco's single win in twelve matches and six scoreless outings signal limited attacking threat, supporting the under 3.5 goals component.
  • Firpo's away record of zero wins in three contrasts sharply with six home wins, a split that tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
  • Both teams' goal distributions show almost all matches staying under 3.5, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation despite Firpo's superior overall output.
  • The head-to-head record heavily favours Firpo, yet Fuerte San Francisco's two away wins in that series show the fixture can still produce upsets.
  • Firpo's recent away loss to CD Olimpia by three goals is the main counterweight to their strong form, keeping the draw a genuine possibility.
Predicted winner
Firpo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Firpo and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorFuerte San FranciscoFirpo
Form17.0%83.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals7.0%93.0%
Total26.0%74.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Fuerte San Francisco

Recent form: DLDDWLLLLLDD.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Firpo

Recent form: DWWDWLWLWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Firpo 4–0 Fuerte San Francisco (30 Jul 2026)
  2. Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Firpo (05 Apr 2026)
  3. Firpo 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco (08 Feb 2026)
  4. Fuerte San Francisco 1–4 Firpo (19 Oct 2025)
  5. Firpo 3–0 Fuerte San Francisco (17 Aug 2025)
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