Czech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL

Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina Prediction

· Stadion Stovky

Frýdek-Místek badgeFrýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina badgeVrchovina

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Vrchovina's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
  • Frýdek-Místek's defensive score of 79 against Vrchovina's 21 underpins the low away-win probability, though the hosts' modest attack tempers outright-win confidence.
  • Frýdek-Místek's home record of three wins, two draws and no losses, including four home clean sheets, supports the draw-inclusive advice over a straight home bet.
  • Vrchovina's away form of one win and three losses, with two away blanks, explains why the model assigns only a tenth of the probability to an away victory.
  • The head-to-head split favours Frýdek-Místek, but recent meetings include a draw and an away win, so the draw component of the advice remains well justified.
  • Both sides' goal totals sit mostly under 2.5, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw probability is materially elevated rather than incidental.
Predicted winner
Frýdek-Místek
Betting advice
Double chance : Frýdek-Místek or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorFrýdek-MístekVrchovina
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence79.0%21.0%
Poisson90.0%10.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals54.0%46.0%
Total69.2%30.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Frýdek-Místek

Recent form: WDWLWWDWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Vrchovina

Recent form: DLWWWLLLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Frýdek-Místek 1–1 Vrchovina (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Vrchovina 4–1 Frýdek-Místek (06 Sep 2025)
  3. Vrchovina 0–1 Frýdek-Místek (19 Mar 2023)
  4. Frýdek-Místek 3–1 Vrchovina (20 Aug 2022)
  5. Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Vrchovina (28 May 2022)
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