Czech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL
Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina Prediction
· Stadion Stovky
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Vrchovina's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
- Frýdek-Místek's defensive score of 79 against Vrchovina's 21 underpins the low away-win probability, though the hosts' modest attack tempers outright-win confidence.
- Frýdek-Místek's home record of three wins, two draws and no losses, including four home clean sheets, supports the draw-inclusive advice over a straight home bet.
- Vrchovina's away form of one win and three losses, with two away blanks, explains why the model assigns only a tenth of the probability to an away victory.
- The head-to-head split favours Frýdek-Místek, but recent meetings include a draw and an away win, so the draw component of the advice remains well justified.
- Both sides' goal totals sit mostly under 2.5, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw probability is materially elevated rather than incidental.
- Predicted winner
- Frýdek-Místek
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Frýdek-Místek or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Frýdek-Místek | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Defence | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Poisson | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Frýdek-Místek
Recent form: WDWLWWDWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Vrchovina
Recent form: DLWWWLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Frýdek-Místek 1–1 Vrchovina (11 Apr 2026)
- Vrchovina 4–1 Frýdek-Místek (06 Sep 2025)
- Vrchovina 0–1 Frýdek-Místek (19 Mar 2023)
- Frýdek-Místek 3–1 Vrchovina (20 Aug 2022)
- Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Vrchovina (28 May 2022)


