3. Division · Denmark
Frem vs Sundby Prediction
· Valby Idraetspark
Final result: Frem 0–3 Sundby (Match Finished)
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward a Frem win combined with over 1.5 goals, yet its own probabilities split the home and draw outcomes evenly at 45% each, leaving only 10% for Sundby, so the advice is more a qualified lean than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is dead level at 50.00 for both sides, meaning the aggregate form signal offers no separation at all. Where the metrics do diverge, they favour Frem: attack 64.00 versus 36.00, defence 42.00 versus 58.00, Poisson 82.00 versus 18.00, head-to-head 62.00 versus 38.00, goals 55.00 versus 45.00, and total 59.20 versus 40.80, which collectively point to a home advantage that the even form and draw-heavy probability temper rather than confirm. The team analysis explains part of that tension, since both clubs have identical home records of two wins, one draw and no defeats, but Frem's away slate of five games without a win (four losses) contrasts with Sundby's five away defeats, suggesting the venue matters more than the overall form line. Frem's goal profile is the stronger attacking case, averaging 3.00 goals at home against 1.40 away, while Sundby manage 2.30 at home but only 0.80 away, and both concede at 1.30 at home and 2.20 away, so the defensive numbers are effectively mirrored. The goals analysis also supports the over 1.5 element, as Frem have gone over 1.5 in five of eight matches and over 0.5 in seven, while Sundby have gone over 1.5 in only two of eight, which makes the combined advice dependent mainly on Frem's scoring rather than a shared high-scoring pattern. Recent form is mixed for both: Frem's last five read L, L, L, W, D, including a 5-2 home win over Ringsted but three straight defeats, while Sundby's read W, L, L, W, L, featuring a 2-0 home win over Holstebro and a 1-0 home win over ASA Aarhus but a 7-0 home loss to FC Midtjylland. The head-to-head record is genuinely balanced across the completed meetings, with a 0-0 draw at Valby Idraetspark, a 2-1 Sundby home win, a 1-2 Frem win at Sundby, and a 3-2 Frem home win, alongside two friendlies that split one apiece, so the 62.00 versus 38.00 head-to-head metric reflects a modest rather than decisive historical edge. Overall, the evidence supports a home-favoured, goal-leaning reading, but the level form, the 45% draw probability, and Sundby's capacity for low-scoring home wins mean the existing advice should be treated as a plausible lean rather than a confident outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Frem
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Frem and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Frem | Sundby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Frem
Recent form: LDLWDWLL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Sundby
Recent form: LLLDLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Frem 0–0 Sundby (13 Jun 2026)
- Sundby 2–1 Frem (08 May 2026)
- Frem —–— Sundby (21 Feb 2026)
- Sundby 1–2 Frem (15 Nov 2025)
- Frem 3–2 Sundby (02 Aug 2025)


